American GM Hikaru Nakamura discussed public’s predictions for the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament in an interview with ChessBase India on March 29. Nakamura states that his victory in the tournament could increase the popularity of chess, and notes that Candidates tournaments are unpredictable.

Hikaru Nakamura

Hikaru Nakamura

World's No. 2, streamer

“In general, if I were to win the Candidates, it would be a very big boom for chess. I don’t really see any other possible way of that happening. That being said, of course, I don’t really look at it as pressure, like I’m supposed to win or something. I just want to play good chess.

I think when people say someone is a favorite, it’s kind of silly. I don’t really mind it when random pundits or random chess fans have their predictions and whatnot. But to me, it’s a little bit — I don’t want to say irresponsible — but very questionable when I hear strong players like Svidler giving opinions.

Because they’ve actually played in the Candidates and they know how random it is. So, saying someone is a favorite and someone shouldn’t do well — I think it’s a little bit questionable.

But nevertheless, obviously by rating me and Fabiano are the top two seeds. And in that sense, we’re the favorites. But again, I think players like Praggnanandhaa and Gukesh very easily could win as well.

So, if it were all about rankings, then why even play the tournament?”

The FIDE Candidates Tournament 2026 takes place from March 28 to April 16, at the Cap St Georges Hotel and Resort in Pegeia, Cyprus. Magnus Carlsen voluntarily declined participation in the Candidates, which allowed Hikaru Nakamura (2810) to qualify for the event via second-place position on the FIDE rating list.

Credit: Yoav Nis / FIDE